Probability

Lesson 1

Math

Unit 8

10th Grade

Lesson 1 of 10

Objective


Describe the sample space of an experiment or situation. Use probability notation to identify the “and,” “or,” and complement outcomes from a given sample space.

Common Core Standards


Core Standards

  • S.CP.A.1 — Describe events as subsets of a sample space (the set of outcomes) using characteristics (or categories) of the outcomes, or as unions, intersections, or complements of other events ("or," "and," "not").
  • 7.SP.C.8 — Find probabilities of compound events using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation.

Foundational Standards

  • 7.SP.C.5

Criteria for Success


  1. Describe the sample space as all the outcomes for a particular experiment or situation.
  2. Describe events as subsets of a sample space using characteristics or categories of the outcomes. 
  3. Find the probability in the sample space of events that represent “or,” “and,” and “not” situations. 
  4. Use the notation $$P(desired \space outcome)$$ to describe probabilities. 
  5. Represent the sample space as lists or tree diagrams.

Tips for Teachers


  • This lesson covers the key concept of representing an experiment or situation with multiple visual representations (lists and tree diagrams). The students should first be given plenty of practice using these models to generate the total number of outcomes of an experiment and then use their own method for representing. 
  • This lesson is an extension of 7.SP.8 standard, which is important because it prepares the students to master the high school statistics and probability standards, specifically under the domain of Conditional Probability and the Rules of Probability. In addition, it may be the case that the students have not studied probability since the seventh grade and need a review. 
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Anchor Problems

25-30 minutes


Problem 1

Ten students on a robotics team fill out an information card describing their gender, grade, whether they are currently taking a science course, whether they are on a sports team, and the number of hours they sleep (on average) per night.

  1. If an information card is chosen at random, which of the following represents the sample space for the event? 

$$S=\left\{Student \space ID,gender,grade\space level,science \space class,sports\space team,hours \space of\space sleep\right\}$$
$$S=\left\{ S1,S2,S3,S4,S5,S6,S7,S8,S9,S10 \right\}$$
$$S=\left\{S1,S2,S3,S4,S5,S6,S7,S8,S9,S10,male,female,9,10,11,12,yes,no,6,7,8,9\right\}$$

  1. The teacher in the robotics club wants to know a little more about her team and chooses a card at random. What is the probability that:
    1. the selected student is female?
    2. the selected student sleeps fewer than 8 hours a night?
    3. the selected student is on a sports team or is taking a science class?
    4. the selected student is not a junior? 

Guiding Questions

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References

Illustrative Mathematics Describing Events

Describing Events, accessed on June 14, 2017, 2:41 p.m., is licensed by Illustrative Mathematics under either the CC BY 4.0 or CC BY-NC-SA 4.0. For further information, contact Illustrative Mathematics.

Modified by Fishtank Learning, Inc.

Problem 2

Annie, Bridget, Carlos, and Diego are seated at random around a square table, one person to a side. What is the probability that Angie and Carlos are seated across from each other? 

Guiding Questions

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References

Illustrative Mathematics Sitting Across from Each Other

Sitting Across from Each Other, accessed on June 14, 2017, 2:40 p.m., is licensed by Illustrative Mathematics under either the CC BY 4.0 or CC BY-NC-SA 4.0. For further information, contact Illustrative Mathematics.

Modified by Fishtank Learning, Inc.

Problem 3

Sam created a game where he flips a coin and then rolls a die. What is the probability that Sam will flip a head and then roll a 4? 

Guiding Questions

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References

NRICH An Introduction to Tree Diagrams

An Introduction to Tree Diagrams is made available by NRICH. Copyright © 1997 - 2018. University of Cambridge. All rights reserved. Accessed Sept. 20, 2018, 9:42 a.m..

Modified by Fishtank Learning, Inc.

Target Task

5-10 minutes


You flip a coin three times in a row. Your friend tells you that the sample space for your experiment is just “head/tails.” You know he is incorrect. 

  1. Represent the sample space of this experiment visually to help convince your friend, and explain your reasoning. 
  2. Is there another way to represent this sample space? Why did you choose your representation?

Additional Practice


The following resources include problems and activities aligned to the objective of the lesson that can be used for additional practice or to create your own problem set.

Next

Determine the probability of events with replacement using tree diagrams, addition rules for mutually exclusive events, and multiplication rules for compound events.

Lesson 2
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Lesson Map

A7CB09C2-D12F-4F55-80DB-37298FF0A765

Topic A: Conditional Probability and the Rules of Probability

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